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Predictions

Back an outcome with coins. Whoever is right splits the pool.

Before you make a prediction
Please read this. Placing a prediction spends real coins from your balance.
coins
You predict with coins you earned
There are no deposits on PrizeBear and there is no way to buy coins. Every coin in your balance came from completing offers and site rewards. You cannot add money to your account, and you never will be asked to.
Everyone's coins go into one pool
Coins staked on every outcome are pooled together. We take a 5% fee from that pool. Whoever backed the correct outcome splits what remains, in proportion to how much they staked. You are playing against the other players, not against us.
Your payout is not fixed when you place it
The figure shown when you bet is an estimate based on the pool at that moment. It moves as more coins come in and is only final when the market closes. More coins on your side means a smaller share each; more on the other side means a bigger one.
If you are wrong, your coins are gone
Staked coins leave your balance immediately and are not returned if your prediction loses. Those coins have real cash value and you could otherwise have withdrawn them. Only stake what you are comfortable losing.
When you get everything back
If a market is cancelled, or if nobody backed the winning outcome, every stake is refunded in full and we take no fee.
How results are decided
Markets are settled by us after the event, based on the official published result. You must be 18 or over to take part.
Politics
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
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Politics
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
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Politics
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
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Politics
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
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Politics
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?
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Politics
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
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Politics
Will Melisa Hortman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
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Politics
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
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Politics
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
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Politics
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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Politics
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
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Politics
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
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Politics
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
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Politics
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
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Politics
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
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Politics
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-04 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the IA-04 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the OR-06 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-14 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-03 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?
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Politics
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?
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